Simulator Primitive: Sourcing & Capex
Objective
To model the “Unit Economics” and “Startup Capital” of a business by hooking into B2B price indices and supplier lists.
Data Hooks
- Primary Source: B2B platforms (Indiamart, TradeIndia).
- Secondary Source: Live Supplier Inventory Feeds (The Orchestration Layer).
- Tertiary Source: Commodity price indices and custom machinery catalogs.
Simulation Variables
1. Raw Material Unit Cost & Availability
- Logic:
Current Market Price + Inbound Logistics + GST (Input). - Live Feed: The system pulls not just price, but Stock Availability (e.g., “Supplier X has 500kg of Grade A tea in stock today”).
- Dynamic Input: Live price per kg/liter/unit of the core material.
- Scenario Impact: Shifting from a local wholesaler to an “Estate-Direct” partner with live inventory visibility triggers an immediate “Supply Chain Reliability Score” update.
2. Supplier Capability Mapping
- Logic:
Production Capacity + Certified Standards + Historical Lead Time. - Dynamic Input: Verified data on a supplier’s “Throughput” (e.g., “This PCB plant can produce 10,000 units/week”).
- Archetype Triggers:
- Chai Walla: Semi-automatic boiler (₹15,000) vs. Manual setup (₹5,000).
- Electronics Assembly: SMT Line (₹2 Crores) vs. Manual soldering stations (₹10 Lakhs).
3. Packaging & Consumables
- Logic:
Cost per unit * Projected Volume. - Scenario Impact: Choosing “Plastic-Free Packaging” increases unit cost but improves the “Sustainability Score” and unlocks premium market segments.
Scenario Modeling: “The Margin War”
The Simulator allows users to fight for every percentage point of margin:
- “The Luxury Label” Scenario:
- Sourcing: High-cost, organic raw materials.
- Packaging: Premium, glass/metal.
- Outcome: High unit price, low volume, high brand equity.
- “The Volume King” Scenario:
- Sourcing: Bulk, commodity-grade raw materials.
- Packaging: Standard, high-speed plastic.
- Outcome: Low unit price, massive scale, high throughput requirement.
Implementation Note for AI Services
The AI must suggest 3 “Tiers” of sourcing (Economy, Standard, Premium) for every business idea to give the user immediate scenario options.